Ensemble sensitivity analysis of Greenland blocking in medium‐range forecasts
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Ensemble-Based Sensitivity Analysis
The sensitivity of forecasts to observations is evaluated using an ensemble approach with data drawn from a pseudo-operational ensemble Kalman filter. For Gaussian statistics and a forecast metric defined as a scalar function of the forecast variables, the effect of observations on the forecast metric is quantified by changes in the metric mean and variance. For a single observation, expression...
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متن کاملPrecipitation and temperature ensemble forecasts from single-value forecasts
Papers published in Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions are under open-access review for the journal Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Abstract Introduction Conclusions References Tables Figures ◭ ◮ ◭ ◮ Back Close Full Screen / Esc Printer-friendly Version Interactive Discussion EGU Abstract A procedure is presented to construct ensemble forecasts from single-value forecasts of pr...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
سال: 2018
ISSN: 0035-9009,1477-870X
DOI: 10.1002/qj.3391